Trump Support Dips
Trump's approval rating among white working-class voters significantly declines amid rising economic concerns
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President Trump's approval rating among white working-class voters has fallen sharply since he took office, according to multiple polls. A CBS News-YouGov survey in May found 54% of white, non-college voters approved of Trump — up from a low of 32% in February 2025 but still well below his election-era support. An NPR/PBS/Marist poll in June put that number at 49%, and an April Fox News poll showed 51%.
The main driver of the drop is higher prices. Gas and groceries have gotten more expensive, pushed up by tariffs and the ongoing war in Iran. Voters who backed Trump to fix the economy say they are not seeing results — and some are now open to switching sides.
One Voter's Story Shows a Broader Shift
Ashton Reed, a 22-year-old from Jackson, Missouri, voted for Trump because he promised to bring down inflation and revive the economy. Crossroads Today reported that Reed has since watched prices climb higher, not lower. He is also uneasy about Trump's aggressive immigration enforcement and the war in Iran.
Reed's experience reflects a pattern playing out across working-class communities. Voters gave Trump a clear mandate on the economy. Many feel that mandate has not been honored. Rising costs at the gas pump and grocery store are the most cited complaints.
Tariffs and the Iran War Drive Up Everyday Costs
Two forces are squeezing household budgets. First, Trump's tariffs have raised the cost of imported goods. Second, the war in Iran has disrupted oil supply, pushing gas prices higher. Together, they have made basic necessities more expensive for working-class families who were already stretched thin.
White working-class voters were among Trump's most loyal supporters in 2024. They backed him by wide margins because of his economic message. Now that message is being tested by real-world price increases that hit this group the hardest.
GOP Midterm Prospects Could Hinge on These Voters
Republicans do not face a national election this November, but midterm races are coming. Fredericksburg.com reported that rising dissatisfaction among working-class voters could create real problems for Republican candidates. Some historically conservative voters are now considering voting for Democrats for the first time.
This is a significant warning sign. White working-class voters are a core pillar of the Republican coalition. If even a fraction of them stay home or cross over, it could shift close House and Senate races. Democrats are watching these poll numbers closely.
Approval Numbers Bounced Back But Remain Below 2024 Peak
The CBS News-YouGov data tells a complicated story. Trump's approval among white non-college voters hit a low of 32% in February 2025 — a stunning drop for a group that gave him roughly 65% of its vote in 2024. By May, that number had recovered to 54%, but it has not returned to election-era levels.
The June NPR/PBS/Marist poll showing 49% and the April Fox News poll showing 51% suggest the recovery may be stalling. Analysts say the durability of this discontent depends on whether prices come down before the midterm campaigns heat up. So far, there is little sign of relief at the pump or in grocery aisles.
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