Erling Haaland Predicts France Victory Over Norway, Balancing Pragmatism With Mind Games

Haaland matched a historical record by scoring in his first two World Cup appearances, highlighting early impact despite a pragmatic stance on glory.
In the 2026 World Cup, Haaland has scored a brace in each of Norway's first two group-stage matches, underscoring his central role for the team.
After Norway’s 3-2 win over Senegal to reach the knockout stage, Haaland said on Fox Sports that France are 'probably going to win against us' and 'probably going to win the whole tournament', a stark mind-game moment.
Norway’s coach Stale Solbakken indicated the team would make multiple lineup changes ahead of the France match, signaling tactical adjustments despite already advancing.
Erling Haaland has publicly handed France the favorites tag — before Norway even plays them. After Norway beat Senegal 3-2 on June 22 to reach the 2026 World Cup knockout stage, Haaland told Fox Sports that France are "probably going to win against us" and "probably going to win the whole tournament." The blunt remarks caught reporters off guard and went viral almost immediately.
The comments came from a player in red-hot form. Haaland has scored four goals in Norway's first two group games, placing him second in the Golden Boot race, according to Marca. Norway and France are both through to the Round of 32, with their June 26 clash at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough deciding who tops Group I.
Norway is in the World Cup knockout stage for the first time since 1998. They got there fast. Haaland scored a brace in a 4-1 win over Iraq on June 16 — his World Cup debut. He then scored twice more against Senegal, giving him four goals in two matches, according to Metro. His international tally now stands at 59 goals in 52 caps.
Captain Martin Ødegaard set up Haaland's first goal against Senegal and led Norway's now-famous "Viking Row" celebration, according to Head Topics. Norway entered the tournament after a perfect 8-0-0 qualifying run, scoring 37 goals. In just one week, they have nearly matched their entire historical World Cup win total.
Speaking after the Senegal win, Haaland was unusually direct. "Honestly, I don't care too much about that game now. We're through, which is incredible," he said, per NDTV Sports via Fox Sports. He then added that France are "probably going to win against us" and "probably going to win the whole tournament." Reporters were visibly surprised by the admission.
France currently lead Group I on goal difference — plus-5 compared to Norway's plus-4 — after Kylian Mbappé scored twice against Iraq. Analysts at ESPN FC suggested Haaland is playing a calculated mind game. By naming France as favorites, he removes pressure from his teammates and lets them play what analysts called "with house money."
Norway's coach Ståle Solbakken is not hiding his intentions. "Six or seven of our players were almost cramping up," he said, per Tribuna. "We really need to field a different lineup because the gap between games is very short." That signals Norway will rest their best players and likely surrender top spot in Group I to France.
Finishing second in Group I means Norway will likely face the runner-up of another group in the Round of 32, rather than potentially a weaker opponent. Solbakken is clearly choosing fitness over bracket positioning. The squad also faces a tough travel schedule — from New Jersey back to their Greensboro base and then to Foxborough — adding to the physical strain.
Back home, Norway is gripped by World Cup euphoria. The "Viking Row" celebration — where players and fans clap in unison — spread to the Norwegian parliament after the Senegal win, according to Elbotola. Thousands of Norway fans also took over Times Square in New York City for their own Viking Row demonstration, turning a soccer celebration into a cultural moment.
Haaland's downbeat words about France may be a deliberate attempt to stop the hype from getting out of hand. Norway has not been to a World Cup in 28 years. The team is already beyond expectations. Whether his France prediction is a mind game or genuine humility, the June 26 match will deliver the answer.
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