Obamacare Enrollments Plummet in Many States as Tax Credits Expire, Federal Data Shows

About 2.6 million fewer Americans had Obamacare health plans in February compared to the same month last year, according to new federal data posted by the Trump administration. The drop marks one of the sharpest single-year declines in coverage since the Affordable Care Act took effect. The Times-Tribune reported that Ohio and Oklahoma each lost nearly one-third of their enrollees.
The main cause: enhanced premium tax credits expired, and monthly insurance costs for many Americans doubled or tripled overnight. Faced with sharply higher bills, millions simply dropped their coverage entirely.
Ohio and Oklahoma saw the steepest percentage drops in the country, each losing close to 33% of their ACA enrollees in just one year, according to Capital Gazette. Arizona also ranked among the hardest-hit states. These three states stood out even against a nationwide trend of falling enrollment.
Florida, which relies on ACA coverage more than almost any other state, recorded the highest raw number of people losing plans. Because Florida has one of the largest ACA enrollments in the country, even a smaller percentage drop translated into a massive loss of insured residents.
The enhanced premium tax credits were first passed during the COVID-19 pandemic. They lowered monthly insurance costs for millions of low- and middle-income Americans. When those credits expired, many people saw their premiums double or triple. A plan that once cost $50 a month could suddenly cost $150 or more.
Greeley Tribune noted that the credit expiration hit hardest in states with large numbers of self-employed workers and people who do not get insurance through a job. For those households, the higher costs simply became unaffordable, and they dropped coverage rather than pay the new rates.
The federal data shows a net loss of roughly 2.6 million ACA enrollees across the country between February of last year and February of this year, according to The Morning Call. That is a significant reversal after several years of record-high sign-ups under the Affordable Care Act.
The numbers cover people enrolled in marketplace plans — the insurance sold on healthcare.gov and state-run exchanges. They do not include Medicaid, the government program for low-income Americans. Experts say the real total of people losing coverage could be even higher when Medicaid changes are factored in.
Congress could restore the enhanced tax credits, but no deal is in place. Daily Press reported that advocates for expanding coverage are pushing lawmakers to act before more people lose insurance. Without new legislation, premiums are likely to stay high through the next enrollment period.
Health policy experts warn that a large drop in insured Americans tends to raise costs for everyone. When uninsured people need emergency care, hospitals often absorb those costs and pass them on to other patients. The 2.6 million drop could put new financial pressure on hospitals, especially in Ohio, Oklahoma, and Florida.
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