NRCC Targets Key Florida Congressional Districts, Including Castor's Tampa Bay Seat, After Redistricting Shifts

The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) has added Florida's 14th Congressional District to its official midterm target list, putting Democratic Rep. Kathy Castor's Tampa Bay seat in the crosshairs, according to Miami Herald. The district, which once leaned blue, now tilts red after Gov. Ron DeSantis pushed through a major redistricting effort.
The move signals that Republicans see a real chance to flip the seat in 2026. The NRCC is not stopping at District 14 — it is also zeroing in on several other Florida races as part of a broader push to expand the party's House majority, Miami Herald reports.
Florida's 14th District used to be a safe Democratic seat. That changed after DeSantis pushed through a new congressional map, redrawing district lines in ways that stripped away reliably Democratic voters, according to Charlotte Observer. The new boundaries made the district far more competitive for Republicans heading into the next election cycle.
Castor has held the Tampa Bay seat for years. But with the district's new shape, the NRCC now sees her as beatable. Being placed on the committee's target list means Republicans plan to pour money and resources into the race to unseat her, The News Tribune reports.
Beyond Castor's seat, the NRCC is also focused on Florida's 22nd Congressional District, an open race covering parts of Palm Beach, Broward, Hendry, and Collier counties, according to Sun Herald. Open seats — where no incumbent is running — are typically easier to flip, making District 22 a high-priority target for Republicans.
With no sitting Democrat to defend the seat, the GOP sees a clear lane. The committee is expected to invest heavily in recruiting a strong candidate and funding the race early, Ledger-Enquirer reported.
The NRCC is also targeting Florida's 9th District and watching the 25th District closely. Democratic Rep. Jared Moskowitz is leaving his House seat to run for the U.S. Senate, according to Tri-City Herald. That departure creates another open seat in South Florida — exactly the kind of opportunity the NRCC has been hunting for.
Moskowitz's move to run statewide forces Democrats to play defense on ground they might otherwise take for granted. Republicans now have a chance to pick up his seat without having to beat a well-funded incumbent, Miami Herald noted.
Florida is shaping up as one of the most contested states in the 2026 midterm cycle. The NRCC's multi-seat targeting strategy in the state shows just how seriously Republicans are taking the opportunity, according to Charlotte Observer. Control of the House could hinge on a handful of Florida races.
Democrats, for their part, will need to defend multiple seats at once while also funding a Senate campaign for Moskowitz. Fighting a two-front battle — holding House seats and chasing a Senate seat — will stretch party resources and test their ground game across the state, The News Tribune reported.
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