AOC Leads Primary Poll
AOC Leads New Hampshire 2028 Democratic Primary Poll, Buttigieg Close Behind
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Key Points
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Ted Cruz publicly predicts Zohran Mamdani will replace Chuck Schumer in the Senate and cites a New Hampshire poll showing AOC atop the field as evidence that she could pursue a presidential bid.
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New Hampshire poll results show Kamala Harris at 5% in the field, with Pete Buttigieg around the low 20s and Mark Kelly at about 9% (Gavin Newsom roughly 8%), illustrating a multi-candidate race behind AOC's lead.
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Hasan Piker, a prominent online progressive commentator, is highlighted in campaign coverage for his appearances and growing influence on progressive candidates and campaign narratives.
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UNH survey director Andrew Smith notes an ideological split in support: roughly half of socialists and a third of progressives back AOC, while liberal and moderate voters tilt more toward Buttigieg.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has taken the lead in New Hampshire's earliest 2028 Democratic presidential primary polling, edging out Pete Buttigieg 22% to 21%, according to CBS News. It marks the first time AOC has topped the field in the state that holds the nation's first primary.
Kamala Harris, once seen as a likely front-runner, sits at just 5% in the University of New Hampshire survey. Gavin Newsom trails at roughly 8%, and Mark Kelly lands near 9%, painting a wide-open race with no clear dominant force yet, Hot Air reported.
AOC's Socialist Base Powers Her NH Advantage
UNH survey director Andrew Smith says the numbers reveal a sharp ideological split. About half of voters who identify as socialists back AOC. Roughly a third of self-described progressives do too. That bloc gives her a narrow but real edge over Buttigieg, according to CBS News.
Buttigieg pulls more support from liberal and moderate Democrats. That puts the two candidates on separate tracks within the same party. Hot Air noted this could signal a coming battle over the party's identity heading into 2028.
Ted Cruz Sees AOC's Poll Lead as Senate Warning Sign
Republican Senator Ted Cruz is watching the numbers closely — and using them to make a political argument. Cruz publicly predicted that progressive candidate Zohran Mamdani will defeat Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer. He then pointed to AOC's New Hampshire lead as proof she could mount a serious presidential run, The Post Millennial reported.
Cruz's comments show how AOC's early polling is resonating beyond Democratic circles. Her rise is being used by Republicans to argue the Democratic Party is moving sharply left. Whether that framing helps or hurts her in a general election remains an open question.
Harris at 5%: A Steep Fall From Front-Runner Status
Just months after running as the Democratic nominee in 2024, Kamala Harris is polling at 5% in New Hampshire. That puts her 17 points behind AOC and 16 points behind Buttigieg. Real Clear Politics highlighted the result as a sign of her weakened standing in the early primary field.
The low number raises real questions about whether Harris can rebuild support. No major candidate has won the presidency after polling in the single digits this early. Democrats are openly discussing whether she remains a viable option at all.
Hasan Piker and Progressive Media Shape the Early Race
Beyond polling, the 2028 race is already being shaped by online progressive voices. Hasan Piker, one of the most-watched left-wing streamers in the country, has become a fixture at progressive campaign events. His growing reach is influencing how candidates talk to younger voters, according to Audacy.
AOC's rise tracks closely with this media ecosystem. Progressive networks, DSA-aligned groups, and high-profile online figures are building early infrastructure around her potential candidacy. The 2028 primary may be decided as much in streaming chats as in town halls.
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